@extends('layouts.app') @section('title', 'Monte Carlo Simulation - Blackberry Farm Analytics') @section('content')
Advanced probabilistic analysis using thousands of scenarios to assess investment risk
Statistical modeling for uncertainty and risk management
This scenario shows strong probability of success with {{ number_format($simulationData['statistics']['probability_positive'], 1) }}% chance of positive returns. The expected ROI of {{ number_format($simulationData['statistics']['mean_roi'], 1) }}% indicates a solid investment opportunity.
@elseif($simulationData['statistics']['probability_positive'] >= 60)This scenario shows moderate risk with {{ number_format($simulationData['statistics']['probability_positive'], 1) }}% chance of positive returns. Consider risk mitigation strategies and ensure you're comfortable with the {{ number_format(100 - $simulationData['statistics']['probability_positive'], 1) }}% chance of losses.
@elseThis scenario shows high risk with only {{ number_format($simulationData['statistics']['probability_positive'], 1) }}% chance of positive returns. Consider reducing plant count, improving efficiency, or reconsidering the investment timing.
@endif